Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 266.515114 301.319616 340.065162 386.598006 441.230817 503.660711 580.858915
2025-03-16 209.135482 253.124438 306.453118 376.633104 467.708274 583.514866 744.545547
2025-03-23 182.042702 230.128618 291.731915 377.893267 497.665540 661.951094 911.024644
2025-03-30 159.626235 208.590080 274.039729 370.066874 511.127471 717.059348 1053.007608
2025-04-06 144.432406 194.142139 263.058940 368.489887 531.161038 782.485936 1221.487352
2025-04-13 127.821446 175.598143 243.739690 351.473827 524.358257 804.076004 1321.302758
2025-04-20 122.050278 171.762243 244.939197 365.014330 566.570024 910.694190 1591.714932
2025-04-27 117.622270 169.298957 247.659777 380.872623 614.425433 1034.878496 1926.003034
2025-05-04 110.498457 161.970049 241.929528 381.882300 636.336779 1115.519500 2193.522599
2025-05-11 102.115953 151.912170 230.808669 372.256170 637.334156 1155.883082 2383.973125
2025-05-18 95.114511 143.470039 221.517954 364.668640 640.840891 1201.433766 2598.350260
2025-05-25 92.244710 141.468171 222.709251 375.895662 682.152446 1333.096664 3063.474415
2025-06-01 87.581237 136.270573 218.214458 376.548459 703.343622 1427.571263 3471.763590
2025-06-08 82.024888 129.175996 209.842464 368.965750 706.459750 1481.970305 3790.143032
2025-06-15 78.300581 124.927259 206.124661 369.951274 728.009473 1584.711766 4293.356118
2025-06-22 73.706935 118.832991 198.547838 362.354244 729.275673 1637.106362 4657.887317
2025-06-29 70.329905 114.658405 194.170528 360.814415 744.196846 1728.382098 5196.372856
2025-07-06 65.307054 107.220074 183.129822 344.232016 721.264999 1712.540861 5339.862650
2025-07-13 64.338960 107.071932 185.928887 357.428068 772.533215 1917.028372 6438.620256
2025-07-20 63.643357 107.363742 189.578497 372.879281 832.176489 2163.038982 7872.624613
2025-07-27 61.383883 104.575202 186.914784 373.862905 854.443481 2299.896343 8907.376172
2025-08-03 58.202929 99.853430 180.036629 364.484505 847.510563 2340.553630 9496.818125
2025-08-10 55.440921 95.788265 174.233592 357.091213 845.096794 2396.576862 10211.455683